Economic growth may struggle despite energy price drops

By Peter Stewart 21 January 2015
How will the global economy respond to the recent halving of oil prices? (PA) How will the global economy respond to the recent halving of oil prices? (PA)

There can be no doubt that the plunge in global oil prices – which have dropped by nearly 60% over the past six months – will cause an enormous transfer of wealth. However, the effect the price slump will have on the global economy is less clear. 

Lower oil prices should provide a multi-billion dollar boost to energy-consuming countries, stimulating economic growth, increasing demand for the fuel and bolstering gas demand for consumers with oil-indexed contracts. However, hydrocarbon producers will see their oil receipts reduced by around $2 trillion because prices have fallen off a cliff: oil stood at more than $115 per barrel in June 2014, but is now languishing at less than $50/bbl.