Methodology: Global Gas Analytics

Global Gas Analytics

Disclaimer
Please note that forecasts and price information provided in Global Gas Analytics are for information only. The indices and forecasts represent the opinion of Interfax market analysts, and Interfax makes no representations or warranties, implied or otherwise, as to the accuracy of the information contained herein, or for the reliability and accuracy of the forecasts provided. Despite the best efforts of Interfax, it does not guarantee that any information contained is accurate and up-to-date. It is the sole responsibility of the user for any decision they may take based on the information provided herein. Interfax cannot accept any liability, direct or indirect, for any inaccuracies within or omissions to any content provided on or as a result of using the forecasts contained herein.

Indices
The Interfax gas indices express standardised values for gas traded relative to a 2014 base period. The aim is to allow meaningful comparison of gas values across regions, and to identify broad trends in the overall price.

Values are normalised to reflect the base year = 100, with current market values expressed as a multiple of this base value, with weightings in the basket based on known indexation patterns in each region.

Gas price forecasts
Global Gas Analytics bases its gas price forecasts on an analysis of market fundamentals. Although spreadsheets are used to analyse the suitability of various forecasting measures, and to assist analysts in coming to a view on the market, the forecasts are not the result of a forecasting model. The forecasts are based on analysis of supply and demand trends, supplemented by technical analysis and Commitment of Traders data published by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Interfax analysts are not registered investment advisers, and the forecasts contained herein reflect an opinion on market direction and are not provided as investment advice.

GGA Research Note

Disclaimer
Please note that any forecasts and price information provided in Global Gas Analytics Research Note are for information only. The indices and forecasts represent the opinion of Interfax market analysts, and Interfax makes no representations or warranties, implied or otherwise, as to the accuracy of the information contained herein, or for the reliability and accuracy of the forecasts provided. Despite the best efforts of Interfax, it does not guarantee that any information contained is accurate and up-to-date. It is the sole responsibility of the user for any decision they may take based on the information provided herein. Interfax cannot accept any liability, direct or indirect, for any inaccuracies within or omissions to any content provided on or as a result of using the forecasts contained herein.

Explanatory Notes
Various sources such as GIIGNL, the BP Statistical Review, the International Energy Agency (IEA) and government agencies provide annual data on LNG trade flows. However, data from different sources can be inconsistent and this can lead to inaccuracies in analyses and forecasts. The notes below explain the approach to data assessment taken in producing this Research Note: