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Price Drivers

Nuclear power plant outages support Henry Hub

Henry Hub front-month futures were strong in the first week of May as nuclear power plants in the United States came back into service more slowly than usual after scheduled maintenance.

6 May 2014
Price Drivers

North America slow to replenish gas stocks

April has been a disappointing month for storage injections in North America, contributing to the strength in Henry Hub front-month futures.

29 April 2014
Price Drivers

Winter prices buoyed as Gazprom increases pressure on Kiev

Developments surrounding Ukraine’s debt to Gazprom for unpaid gas will remain a key driver at European hubs in the coming days.

28 April 2014
Price Drivers

Oil will bear brunt if Japan's nukes restart

Japan will cut oil imports as well as LNG if its nuclear plants come back online later this year

23 April 2014
Fundamentals

North Africa tightening global LNG supply

Falling gas production and increasing domestic demand in North Africa will constrain global LNG supply over the next few years.

23 April 2014
Price Drivers

US LNG promises greater flexibility for Asian buyers

The strategy adopted by Tokyo Gas, Japan’s largest city gas utility, illustrates the shifting market dynamics created by the promise of US LNG exports

23 April 2014
Price Drivers

Can Ukraine reverse the flow?

Reverse flows into Ukraine are likely to remain negligible in the short to medium term. This means the country will remain dependent on Russian gas to replenish stocks to suitable levels for next winter.

23 April 2014
Fundamentals

Low gas stocks leave US vulnerable this winter

Gas stocks in the United States will struggle to reach the levels seen at the beginning of the 2013/2014 gas withdrawal period, making the country vulnerable to supply constraints during winter.

23 April 2014
Price Drivers

Storage providing bullish sentiment to Henry Hub

Gas storage replenishment in the United States continued slowly last week, with data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on 17 April showing another week of net injections below expectations.

22 April 2014
Price Drivers

Slow start to the injection season supports Henry Hub

Henry Hub front-month futures closed Monday’s trading session at $4.56/MMBtu, an increase of 1.8% on a weekly basis

15 April 2014
Price Drivers

Supply restrictions cause rebound in European prices

Prices at European hubs saw some upside last week because of supply restrictions and renewed concerns about the situation in Ukraine. Further price strength is expected in the next few days as maintenance is due to be carried out by Norwegian operator Gassco.

14 April 2014
Price Drivers

North America faces challenge to restore gas stocks

North America is facing the challenge of replenishing severely depleted gas stocks during the 2014 injection period, which started in April. This has been supportive of Henry Hub front-month futures, which closed Tuesday’s trading session at $4.53/MMBtu.

9 April 2014
Price Drivers

European gas prices keep falling amid healthy supply

European gas prices continued to fall to new lows last week. Temperatures in April are forecast to drop in some parts of Europe, but there is little promise this will dramatically lift prices.

7 April 2014
Price Drivers

Speculators promote range-bound trade in Henry Hub futures

Henry Hub front-month futures traded in a tight range last week primarily as a result of the activities of speculators.

1 April 2014
Price Drivers

No apparent floor to relentless price losses at European hubs

European gas markets saw more of the same over the past week, as milder-than-normal temperatures, compounded by healthy supplies, continued to push spot prices to new lows.

31 March 2014
Price Drivers

Mild weather weighs on Henry Hub futures

Milder temperatures in the United States have made their mark on Henry Hub front-month futures by limiting the upside to prices.

25 March 2014
Price Drivers

Gas prices in Europe slip as fundamental drivers take over

The prospect of cooler temperatures in some countries in Europe this week is not expected to significantly affect gas prices, mainly because of generally comfortable supplies.

24 March 2014
Price Drivers

Ukraine flare-up leads to gas uncertainty

Reverse flows from Europe are possible if disruption occurs, but capacity is limited.

19 March 2014
Price Drivers

NGV growth steps up a gear in China

Supported by strong political measures, the proportion of China’s gas consumption used by the transport sector is expected to rise to 13.2% by 2018, according to the International Energy Agency.

19 March 2014
Price Drivers

India gas price hike will not boost output soon

Despite gas pricing reforms coming into effect from 1 April, Indian gas production is unlikely to rise on an annual basis before 2016.

19 March 2014

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