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Price Drivers

European gas prices keep falling amid healthy supply

European gas prices continued to fall to new lows last week. Temperatures in April are forecast to drop in some parts of Europe, but there is little promise this will dramatically lift prices.

7 April 2014
Price Drivers

Speculators promote range-bound trade in Henry Hub futures

Henry Hub front-month futures traded in a tight range last week primarily as a result of the activities of speculators.

1 April 2014
Price Drivers

No apparent floor to relentless price losses at European hubs

European gas markets saw more of the same over the past week, as milder-than-normal temperatures, compounded by healthy supplies, continued to push spot prices to new lows.

31 March 2014
Price Drivers

Mild weather weighs on Henry Hub futures

Milder temperatures in the United States have made their mark on Henry Hub front-month futures by limiting the upside to prices.

25 March 2014
Price Drivers

Gas prices in Europe slip as fundamental drivers take over

The prospect of cooler temperatures in some countries in Europe this week is not expected to significantly affect gas prices, mainly because of generally comfortable supplies.

24 March 2014
Price Drivers

Ukraine flare-up leads to gas uncertainty

Reverse flows from Europe are possible if disruption occurs, but capacity is limited.

19 March 2014
Price Drivers

NGV growth steps up a gear in China

Supported by strong political measures, the proportion of China’s gas consumption used by the transport sector is expected to rise to 13.2% by 2018, according to the International Energy Agency.

19 March 2014
Price Drivers

India gas price hike will not boost output soon

Despite gas pricing reforms coming into effect from 1 April, Indian gas production is unlikely to rise on an annual basis before 2016.

19 March 2014
Price Drivers

Weak fundamentals keep Henry Hub futures range-bound

CME/NYMEX-traded Henry Hub front-month futures have moved in a tight trading range recently. Milder weather conditions limited the upside of the financial instrument, however, low gas storage levels in the United States supported prices.

18 March 2014
Price Drivers

Prices directed by Ukraine dispute, despite weak demand

Prices at European hubs traded higher week on week because of growing concerns over the crisis in Ukraine.

17 March 2014
Price Drivers

Strong technical support limits downside to Henry Hub futures

CME/NYMEX-traded Henry Hub front-month futures have received strong technical support at $4.50/MMBtu in the past week. This has limited losses despite rising temperatures in North America.

11 March 2014
Price Drivers

Prices exposed to volatility because of Crimean crisis

Although the demand outlook at European markets remains fundamentally bearish over the next week, uncertainty over the Russia-Ukraine crisis means prices are likely to be volatile.

10 March 2014
Price Drivers

Sharp rises followed by steep falls in Henry Hub futures

Henry Hub front-month futures fell to as low as $4.44/MMBtu on 27 February, a drop of almost 32% from $6.49/MMBtu on 24 February – the highest level since December 2008.

4 March 2014
Price Drivers

Crimea crisis lifts NBP front-month price

The front-month price at the UK’s NBP reached approximately 60 p/th on Monday morning on the ICE Futures exchange as tensions between Moscow and Kiev showed no sign of abating.

3 March 2014
Price Drivers

Henry Hub remains volatile despite margin increases

A series of recent increases in trading margins have had a limited impact in reducing volatility in CME/NYMEX-traded Henry Hub front-month futures.

25 February 2014
Price Drivers

Weak European prices to reduce Russian exports

The bears have stayed in control at European gas hubs over the past week. The trend is unlikely to fade this week, given temperatures are generally forecast to remain above seasonal norms.

24 February 2014
Price Drivers

UK gas reserves showcase reversal in Europe’s stocks profile

The relentless price losses seen at European gas markets this winter have resulted in an atypical pattern with regards to reserves at storage facilities.

21 February 2014
Price Drivers

Europe faces stock overhang

With the tight winter stock position now reversed, markets are watching how Gazprom will respond.

19 February 2014
Price Drivers

Storengy looks east for long-term business

With European energy policy still in limbo, Storengy – the storage arm of France’s GDF Suez – is diversifying its risks by building positions in China. GGA speaks to Jean-Marc Leroy, Storengy’s chief executive

19 February 2014
Price Drivers

Weather and storage boost speculation on Henry Hub

CME/NYMEX-traded Henry Hub front-month futures traded around $5.5/MMBtu on Tuesday, a 14% increase from the level seen at the close of last Tuesday’s trading session.

18 February 2014

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