Directional impact on forecast:
Bullish on methanol prices
Trinidad & Tobago is one of the largest methanol producers in the world and the second-biggest exporter of the petrochemical. The country uses gas as a feedstock in its methanol production, but gas supply constraints are limiting output and exports. While this is weighing on Trinidad’s export revenues, it has also supported global methanol prices. Tighter methanol supplies from Trinidad are expected to persist even in 2017 as investment in the country’s upstream remains under pressure.